Volume 28 Number 2 September 2003


Equity Transmission Mechanisms from Asia to Australia: Interdependence or Contagion?

Mardi Dungey, Renee Fry and Vance L. Martin


Abstract

The linkages between daily Asian and Australian equity market returns over the period 1995-2001 are investigated within the framework of a latent factor model. Transmission mechanisms arising from both market interdependence and contagion are studied. The empirical results reveal that co-movements in Asian and Australian equity markets are largely determined by interdependent linkages arising from common systemic factors. There is little significant evidence of contagion, although negative shocks have more effect than positive ones.


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Keywords

CONTAGION; INTERDEPENDENCE; FINANCIAL CRISES; FACTOR MODELS; INDIRECT ESTIMATION.


Contact Details

Mardi Dungey
Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200

E-mail: Mardi.Dungey@anu.edu.au

Renee Fry
Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200

E-mail: Renee.Fry@anu.edu.au

Vance L. Martin
Department of Economics
The University of Melbourne
Parkville VIC 3052

E-mail: vance@unimelb.edu.au




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